With rumors flying that the Houston Texans are attempting to move the first overall pick, Texans fans are wondering, “for what?” According to reports, the Buffalo Bills are interested in trading up all the way from the ninth spot to attain the coveted first overall pick. Like John McClain, renowned beat writer for the Texans, I do not see this happening.
In my mind, there is no way that the Texans drop all the way to ninth in the draft, unless the Bills are that desperate to move up to secure whoever they are enamored with. If this is the case, then the Texans could ask for the Bills to send multiple picks (like their second or third round picks) in this draft AND their first round pick next season to the Texans. While that is in the realm of possibility, who exactly would the Bills be targeting at first overall? Are they enamored enough with Johnny Manziel to already signal that they have given up on second year player E.J. Manuel, who they spent a first round pick on just last season? Or are they wanting to pair Jadeveon Clowney or Khalil Mack with Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus? While there are several options for the Bills at number one, there seems to be few for the Texans at ninth. At ninth, the Texans would be hoping for a guy like Greg Robinson or Jake Matthews to fall into their lap. While Matthews may still be available, he is seemingly the lesser alternative to Robinson. Would any of the three “top-tier” quarterbacks still be there? Probably not. Teams in desperate need of a quarterback, like the Jacksonville Jaguars, Cleveland Browns, and Minnesota Vikings, may reach for one of these quarterbacks in hopes of fielding a franchise signal-caller. And what if Matthews or Greg Robinson are not there? Will the Texans have to settle for a guy like Taylor Lewan or draft a position that is not as high of a need as another? The Texans are in desperate need of improving their roster dramatically, so the idea that they might have to settle for somebody at ninth is not all too appealing.
If the Texans are going to trade their pick, the only teams I would consider trading with are the Cleveland Browns or St. Louis Rams, because they both have multiple picks in the first round. (Since these are hypothetical scenarios, both will be extremely optimistic in nature and favorable for the Texans). In the scenario that the Texans were to trade with the Browns, the Texans would look to receive the fourth and the twenty-sixth overall pick of the first round and possibly a few other late round picks. If this were to happen, the Texans could still select a guy like Khalil Mack or Greg Robinson, two players who would fill two huge needs for the Texans and would not be considered reaches. If the Texans were to trade with the Rams, the Texans would look to receive the second overall pick and the thirteenth overall pick of the first round. While this seems highly unlikely, stranger things have happened draft day. Maybe the Rams are absolutely enamored with Jadeveon Clowney and are absolutely obsessed with the idea of him joining the Rams front seven of Robert Quinn, Chris Long, James Laurinaitis, and Alec Ogletree. While this may be the case, it is more than likely that the Rams will end up trading back to a desperate team so they can acquire more picks.
In the end, the Texans have a little over a month to finalize their decision on what they are going to do with the first pick. It is a good thing that they have this precious time, because the wrong decision could really set this franchise back even more and keep the team in mediocrity for the foreseeable future. No pressure, Rick Smith, Bill O’Brien, and the Texans front office.